The LOVE Index continues, this time with a look at Oregon’s top receiver, Dakorien Moore. To remind you, the LOVE Index is scored 0-100 and looks at 4 categories to help us understand the impact of a playoff contender’s schedule on CFF value (see below) for details.
0-25 points will be assigned to each of the following:
Losses and Playoff Vulnerability: Likelihood of their team losing an early game
Offensive Consolidation – When the going gets tough, how heavily is this player relied upon?
Volume Delta – The gap between their “coasting” volume and “desperation” volume
Elimination Window – How early and often a team faces an opponent that could ruin their playoff chances
Dakorien Moore, Oregon
Losses and Playoff Vulnerability
The Ducks have a few bigger names on the docket in the month of September, but they really aren’t going to be threatened. The opener against Boise State would be more exciting if it were 2024 or 2008, but in 2026, this game is a nothing burger. They’re currently 24.5-point favorites in that one. A trip to Los Angeles to face the USC Trojans could be interesting, but it would certainly be a big upset if the Ducks were to lose. There are teams out there with way more intimidating September schedules, but Moore earns just 8 out of 25 points in this category.
Offensive Consolidation
In the three tight regular-season games that Oregon played while Moore was healthy, he saw 10, 6, and 6 targets. That usage accounted for 23.9% of the target share, which we can get behind as fantasy players. Add in the two non-JMU playoff games (9 targets on 74 passes), and that target share is 18.7%. It’s worth noting that he was a true freshman last season, and in the past, this system has created some big-time fantasy receivers. In 2024, Tez Johnson saw 22.9% target share while playing just 11 out of 13 games. In 2023, Troy Franklin saw 100+ targets during the regular season, while Tez Johnson saw 87 passes thrown his way. Both accounted for over 20% target share and combined for 24 touchdown receptions in 27 total games between the two.
It may be controversial, but I believe there’s enough on the bone here to give Moore a high score, 20 out of 25. This system, even with Will Stein gone and Drew Mehringer taking over as the sole offensive coordinator, could replicate those Tez Johnson/Troy Franklin seasons if pushed. Whether or not they’ll be pushed to that level in 2026 will be graded elsewhere.
Volume Delta
This is where Moore really gets hurt in the LOVE Index. When you look at the other 6 games Moore played, he saw 23 targets on 158 attempts (14.6% target share). While the percentage isn’t that much lower than the 5 competitive games, the 14.6% target share equated to 3.8 targets per game, compared to 6.2 in the tighter contests. There’s a significant gap between the usage in games that Oregon has in hand versus games where the offense is pushed to keep a lead or make a comeback.
Moore scores a 5 out of 25 due to the above.
Elimination Window
When you think about Oregon and what kind of schedule they might have in 2026, you assume there will be an obvious tough stretch. This isn’t the case, though, this season. The Ducks avoided Indiana, didn’t challenge themselves too hard in the non-conferences, and see a big gap between their road contest at USC and at Ohio State in week 10. Sure, Michigan travels to Eugene the week after that Ohio State contest, but if that’s the “gauntlet,” then you’re in a great spot in this 12-team playoff era. On top of this, even if Oregon did lose to USC in Week 4, you’re likely to still see Oregon not maximize player usage in preparation for that big Ohio State game. For this, Moore receives just 8 points out of the 25 available.
Total Score: 41
Standings:
1. Bo Jackson – 74
2. Dakorien Moore – 41
Scoring Explained:
85-100 = The Jeremiyah Love Tier – Elite ceiling disguised by low offseason volume projections.
70-84 = High Leverage – Safe baseline volume with big upside if an early loss occurs.
50-69 = Script Dependent – Talented player held back by a weak schedule/coaching style.
0-50 = Static Volume – Safe player that has capped upside. What you see is what you get.
