The 2023 NFL Season is here, and with it comes some lineup questions. Which moves should you make to maximize your points? Let this weekly post be your guide as I offer one start and one sit suggestion at QB, RB, WR, and TE. These suggestions are based on my rankings against consensus each week. And because we want to measure our success, check back each week for a recap on how I did.
For the purposes of this project, a start is a player I think will finish Top 12 at QB or TE and Top 24 at RB or WR. A sit is a player I suspect will finish outside those metrics. Before we move forward, let’s look at last week’s picks. All finishes courtesy of Fantasy Pros.
Week 10 Starts
QB: Jared Goff, QB8 Hit. Goff was great as the Lions won in Week 10.
RB: Travis Etienne, RB39 Miss. Etienne and the Jaguars struggled.
WR: Michael Pittman, WR16 Hit. Pittman has been rock solid.
TE: Taysom Hill, TE25 Miss. Hill didn’t get enough volume in Week 10.
Start Record: 2-2
Week 10 Sits
QB: Will Levis, QB26 Hit. Levis is going through growing pains.
RB: Zack Moss, RB68 Hit. Moss continues to see his touches diminish.
WR: Gabe Davis, WR36 Hit. Not enough volume for Davis.
TE: Gerald Everett, NA Hit. Everett didn’t get a single point.
Sit Record: 4-0
And now, on to the Week 11 list!
Start: Josh Allen, Buffalo Bills
About: Week 10 wasn’t kind to Allen and the Bills as they lost to the Broncos and then Offensive Coordinator Ken Dorsey was fired. Now, Allen gets a stout defense in the New York Jets. You might be tempted to stay away, but I think the Bills will take off with their backs against the wall. I like Allen this week. Don’t overthink it.
Sit: Kyler Murray, Arizona Cardinals
About: Murray is still working himself back. He had an OK start in Week 10, finishing as QB13 thanks to a rushing touchdown. He could get there again, but we have Patrick Mahomes, Jalen Hurts, and Tua Tagovailoa back from a bye, making the field deeper. The Cardinals are on the road this week and I don’t see Murray cracking the Top 12.
Start: David Montgomery and Jahmyr Gibbs, Detroit Lions
About: Montgomery and Gibbs were both in the lineup together for the first time in weeks on Sunday. They combined for 193 rushing yards and three touchdowns on 26 carries. This week they get the Chicago Bears. I’m firing them both up and I think they are both at least Top 24 options.
Sit: Kareem Hunt, Cleveland Browns
About: Hunt has been getting the Red Zone work and is always a decent threat for a touchdown. But he’s also splitting the backfield work and not getting a ton of volume. Against a good Pittsburgh Steelers defense, I don’t think that volume will be enough for him to crack the Top 24. He’s a flex option but not an RB2 for me.
Start: Garrett Wilson, New York Jets
About: Yes, the Jets’ offense has been a mess. I’m not bullish on Zach Wilson in general or particularly in Week 11. But he has been feeding Wilson. The Jets’ star receiver is WR16 on the season and only has two games with less than ten points, none less than 8.4 points. He’s got a decently stable floor and has been producing. You could do worse at your WR2.
Sit: Marquise Brown, Arizona Cardinals
About: Brown is the Cardinals’ best option at wide receiver, but it’s not a particularly robust pass offense. He’s WR27 on the season, thanks in part to the Cardinals not having had their bye week. But in those ten games, five of them have been below ten points. That includes the 3.8 points he produced in Murray’s return in Week 10. It’s not a great matchup and the Cardinals’ offense isn’t consistent enough. He’s outside the Top 24 for me.
Start: Jake Ferguson, Dallas Cowboys
About: There hasn’t been much consistency among Dallas receivers not named CeeDee Lamb, but Ferguson has been producing all season. He’s TE9 on the season, averaging 10.6 points per game. He’s a start for me this week against the Panthers.
Sit: Logan Thomas, Washington Commanders
About: The upside is there with Thomas, and we’ve seen it this season. But the Commanders’ offense is too unpredictable. The team has three options at receiver and two options at running back all vying for targets. In addition, the team has been using other tight ends as well. I like Thomas’ talent but there’s not enough consistent volume to trust him as a Top 12 option.
Matthew Fox is a die-hard NFL fan and Broncos’ homer. He’s a member of the FSWA. You can find more from him on Twitter @knighthawk7734 or as co-host of the Fantasy Football Roundtable Podcast, a part of the Campus2Canton Network.