The 2023 NFL Season is here, and with it comes some lineup questions. Which moves should you make to maximize your points? Let this weekly post be your guide as I offer one start and one sit suggestion at QB, RB, WR, and TE. These suggestions are based on my rankings against consensus each week. And because we want to measure our success, check back each week for a recap on how I did.
For the purposes of this project, a start is a player I think will finish Top 12 at QB or TE and Top 24 at RB or WR. A sit is a player I suspect will finish outside those metrics. Before we move forward, let’s look at last week’s picks. All finishes are courtesy of Fantasy Pros.
Week 13 Starts
QB: Justin Herbert, QB23 Miss. There was no offense in the Chargers versus Patriots game.
RB: Zack Moss, RB27 Miss. Moss didn’t get enough work to crack the Top 24.
WR: DeVonta Smith, WR10 Hit. Smith continues to be hot for the Eagles.
TE: Pat Freiermuth, TE22 Miss. The Pittsburgh offense was a mess on Sunday.
Start Record: 1-3
Week 13 Sits
QB: Sam Howell, QB9 Miss. Howell struggled as a passer, but two short rushing touchdowns made his day.
RB: Aaron Jones, NA Hit. Jones couldn’t even suit up. It’s been a lost season for the Green Bay back.
WR: Chris Godwin, WR 44 Hit. No receptions for Godwin on Sunday.
TE: Jonnu Smith, TE30 Hit. Smith isn’t getting the volume.
Sit Record: 3-1
Now, on to the Week 14 Picks!
Start: Dak Prescott, Dallas Cowboys
About: Dak has been on fire of late. The 9-3 Cowboys have been putting up a lot of points. Now, this week, the team has a chance to move into a tie in the NFC East with a home win over the Philadelphia Eagles. Dak’s been especially good at home, which helps. Dak is QB3 on the season, and he’s had 24 points or more in six of his last seven starts. That includes a 28-point game against the Eagles in Week 9. I’m firing him up.
Sit: Desmond Ridder, Atlanta Falcons
About: Ridder has the starting job back in Atlanta, supposedly for the rest of the season. The Falcons are also now 6-6, first place in the NFC South. Those are good things that might make you interested. He also has a set of weapons that includes Bijan Robinson, Drake London, and Kyle Pitts. That’s also interesting. Unfortunately, none of that has translated to fantasy success. He has only three games this season with 15 or more points while posting six games with fewer than ten points. He’s not a good bet in an important week.
Start: Josh Jacobs, Las Vegas Raiders
About: Jacobs started the season slowly. However, no player on the Raiders has benefitted more from the move away from Josh McDaniels than Jacobs. He is now RB9 on the season, and since Week 8, he has only one game below ten points. He’s getting volume, and he’s been productive. This week, the Raiders are at home against the Vikings. And since they’re not out of the playoff race, I expect them to fight hard coming off a bye week. I’m playing Jacobs.
Sit: Javonte Williams, Denver Broncos
About: This one hurts for me because I am a big Broncos fan. I’m also a big Williams fan. The talent is there. The opportunity just isn’t right now. The Broncos use three backs, including Williams, Samaje Perine, and Jaleel McLaughlin. He’s just RB31 on the season. While Williams gets the bulk of the carries, he’s not getting touchdowns and enough receiving work to feel good about him as an RB2.
Start: Mike Evans, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
About: Evans is having a monster season. He’s been by far the favorite target for Baker Mayfield and already has another 1,000-yard season. He’s WR8 on the season and has been on a tear of late, with three games at 25 points or more in the last four weeks. The Buccaneers have a huge matchup with the Falcons this week, and I think Evans will be a big part of the attack. Fire him up.
Sit: Amari Cooper, Cleveland Browns
About: Cooper has great talent and he’s the Browns’ best receiver. The offense, however, is a bit of a mess. Whether it’s Dorian Thompson-Robinson or Joe Flacco this week, I don’t expect a high-flying attack. Cooper is WR31 on the season with single-digit point outputs in the past three weeks. The Browns have a tough matchup this week against the Jaguars and Cooper is still beat up. I’m not trusting him as a Top 24 option.
Start: Taysom Hill, New Orleans Saints
About: Hill qualifies as a tight end. That’s great news for the Saints and fantasy players because he gets a lot of touches. Hill is involved as a receiver, a runner, and a passer. He also is involved in the Red Zone, which is a big boost to fantasy potential. With Derek Carr ailing, it’s possible he’ll have an expanded role. He’s already TE10 on the season. Fire him up.
Sit: Dalton Schultz, Houston Texans
About: Schultz has had an uneven season. The Texans’ offense has taken off, and Schultz has plenty of talent, but it’s a matter of consistency. Could he get a boost with Tank Dell out now? It’s possible. He’s TE12 on the season, but there are other options I’d prefer. In a crucial week, especially with the Texans playing the Jets, I’m staying away.
Matthew Fox is a die-hard NFL fan and Broncos’ homer. He’s a member of the FSWA. You can find more from him on Twitter @knighthawk7734 or as co-host of the Fantasy Football Roundtable Podcast, a part of the Campus2Canton Network.