This is the last big look ahead week as after week 13 we’ve got conference title game weekend and then it’s bowl szn. Last week I liked NC St getting 5 points on the look ahead, and now it’s +4. UCLA was a one point favorite but now has re-opened as a 1 point dog, now a 2 point dog, so potential value there after their loss to Arizona. I said TCU was getting disrespected as a 2 point dog at Baylor on the look ahead last week but now sits in as a 2.5 point favorite after beating Texas in a game many had already given to the Longhorns. SO what early values are up as we look ahead to RIVALRY WEEK!?

Miss St @ Ole Miss -4

Oregon -4.5 @ Oregon St

Florida @ Florida St -7.5

Michigan @ Ohio St -8

Washington -2.5 @ Washington St

Notre Dame @ USC -3.5

Auburn @ Alabama -26.5

Iowa St @ TCU -11

LSU -7.5 @ Texas A&M

South Carolina @ Clemson -16.5

I see some tasty lines for week 13. I’d scoop up Florida and over a touchdown against FSU. Full disclosure, I am a Gator fan but I try to take an objective look at my own team. UF’s defense has improved throughout the season with personnel changes and some scheme adjustments. I am still not really buying FSU. I like the Gators and will probably sprinkle the moneyline in Tallahassee unless AR comes out of the Vandy game with some injury. Give me Michigan and 8 points. I have come around on Michigan as a pretty complete team and I think they can keep this one close. I don’t think the USC line will be -3.5 next week. The performance and outcome of the UCLA game will dictate how the public perceives this one. Throw out the metrics when Auburn and Alabama get together. I don’t wnat to do it but if forced you’d have to take the Tigers and 26.5. Right now, I’d lean grabbing 3.5 now. TCU finally gets respect, but I wouldn’t want to touch this.

 

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