Season Record: 4-17
WE CAN BUILD ON THIS!! Finally a 2-1 week. The hot streak starts now. I felt like Rice and USC were good wins, but I’m still trying to understand how Wash St allowed 6 sacks to an Oregon St team ranked outside the top 100 in sack percentage. THE WHOLE THESIS WAS THAT CAM WARD WOULD BE CLEAN. Alas, that one was flat wrong. Be sure to check the discord as all my plays are posted there, and on the season, things are looking much better.
Toledo @ Buffalo OVER 58
This line has moved south since I first saw it at 60. Despite bettors liking the under I am still bullish on the over here. Toledo overs are 8-4 over the last four years when playing away games in conference. While some may look at the Rockets’ 96th-ranked pace (67 plays per game), my counterpoint is they are ninth in points per play. This is a lethal, uber-efficient offense, led by 2022 breakout quarterback DeQuan Finn.