Last week I documented the look ahead lines on Draft Kings. My initial lean was correct for to of the three I discussed with Texas and Syracuse opening with less favorable lines than the look ahead. I was dead wrong on Ole Miss as they went from a 1 point favorite to a 2 point dog in the interim. Usually released on Wednesdays these lines give you a chance to jump on value over a week before the games are played. One value risk is if the team you’re backing suffers a key injury on Saturday. However, I like jumping on these lines as they are usually softer than the numbers during game week.
Utah -7 @ Washington St
Michigan State @ Michigan -23.5
Notre Dame -1 @ Syracuse
Cincinnati @ UCF -2.5
Kentucky @ Tennessee -14
Ole Miss @ Texas A&M -2.5
Pittsburgh @ UNC -4
Ohio St -14.5 @ Penn St
Oklahoma St @ Kansas St -3
Florida v. Georgia -21.5
There really isn’t a line that jumps out at me except Pittsburgh catching four. While I am smitten with Drake Maye and the UNC offense I can’t feel comfortable backing that defense to cover more than 3 against any offense with a pulse. Pittsburgh will be a live dog against the Tarheels. I am still backing Syracuse. The game against Clemson will likely influence public opinion and this line could be Syracuse -3.5 or +3.5 by next week. So, before making a play here, ask yourself how you think the Clemson game will go. Ole Miss continues be disrespected by the books. With this line, they are back to back road dogs against statistically inferior opponents. While I am on the Rebs @ LSU this week, I’d be wary doubling down @ TAMU the following weekend. The Rebs have to break eventually, right? With an Ole Miss moneyline ticket in hand for this Saturday, I am not rushing to take them in Week 9. Oklahoma St and Kansas St both have huge “show me” spots this week so it will be very interesting to see how that line moves after the games play on October 22.
