This is Part II of the series focusing on comparing trends from ADP to the Campus2Canton positional ranks to find value in C2C drafts. Austin (@devydeets), who usually analyzes ADP trends month-over-month, has this month off as we take a slightly different approach.
Quarterbacks
Michael Pratt, Tulane (Position Rank: QB55 vs. ADP: QB73)
Pratt is a riser for the majority of the C2C rankers after an impressive freshman season. He came out as a true freshman blazing, accounting for 28 total offensive touchdowns in only 10 games. He flashed some dual-threat ability on the ground and mobility in the pocket. Although the passing numbers are somewhat pedestrian, expect a big jump in 2021 as he matures as a quarterback and adapts to new offensive coordinator Chip Long’s offense. Pratt flashed ability with big-time throws but needs to improve his mechanics. His current ADP doesn’t reflect his upside as a 3-year starter with potential for improvement.
Hank Bachmeier, Boise St (Position Rank: QB68 vs. ADP: 96)
With a 28-spot difference in rank, Bachmeier is a good end-of-draft value that the C2C rankers are higher than consensus. New offensive coordinator Tim Plough could take an already productive offense (33.9 points per game) to new heights in 2021, with Khalil Shakir and CT Thomas leading the way. Again, a later-round quarterback, Bachmeier is a value compared to where he’s currently going.
Matt Corral, Ole Miss (Position Rank: QB6 vs. ADP: QB10)
This one is not nearly as drastic as it’s at the top of most drafts, but Corral is a player the entire crew of rankers is higher on than ADP. With potential to explode in year two of the Lane Kiffin offense, Corral has many tools NFL teams are looking for. He could be the third quarterback off the board in 2021. Even if Corral doesn’t come out this year, he will still manage to be an incredibly productive college producer. The buzz is building.
Running Backs
Rachaad White, Arizona State (Position Rank: RB32 vs. ADP: RB57)
White, an analytics darling, has been moving up ranks after coming in this season at a heavier weight, and as we analyze in on his production last season. In 2020, he averaged 10 yards per carry and 18.9 yards per reception. And alongside a 19.4% receiving share and a 71.0% backfield dominator rating, all while sharing the backfield with Chip Trayanum. White has legitimate upside in the NFL given his 6’2” frame and elite pass-catching ability. Given the 25-spot discrepancy between rank and ADP, White is a great value in C2C drafts currently.
Ulysses Bentley, SMU (Position Rank: RB36 vs. ADP: RB54)
Bentley, another riser late in the off-season, has caught steam recently. In 2020, Bentley posted a 68.9% backfield dominator rating as a second-year player with 913 rushing yards, 11 touchdowns, and 21 receptions. An incredibly productive season, Bentley should move forward with multiple years of production left as a potential top-12 RB and, if he adds some weight, a potential satellite back role in the NFL.
Rahjai Harris, ECU (Position Rank: RB43 vs. ADP: RB74)
Another G5 producer, Harris is going under the radar as a potential collegiate producer with some exciting traits. Already with great size at 5’10” 226lbs., Harris was First Team All-AAC in 2020 as a true freshman in a season where he posted 624 yards in eight games. Harris also can catch passes despite only snagging eight in ten games last season. A multi-year starter who could provide solid production for your college team, the Harris value is one to target in drafts.
Wide Receivers
Elijah Cooks, Nevada (Position Rank: WR81 vs. ADP: WR150)
With a discrepancy of 69 (nice) spots, Elijah Cooks currently comes in as one of the best values in drafts. Although Cooks was injured last year, the last time he and Romeo Doubs were healthy, Cooks managed to outproduce him in yards, receptions, and touchdowns per game. Despite the gap of 224 picks between him and Doubs, Cooks should be part of an electric Nevada offense headlined by Carson Strong. Please don’t sleep on him to lead the team in production this season.
Nathaniel Dell, Houston (Position Rank: WR134 vs. ADP: WR175)
We’re not even that high on Dell as a group, but we think he should be going rounds ahead of his current ADP. The top option in Houston after the departure of Marquez Stevenson, Dell should be a fixture in an offense that features the WR1 extensively. Dana Holgerson has a reputation for featuring the best receiver with an absurd target share, which should give Dell an outside chance to post a WR1 season for your college team if Clayton Tune can take the next step forward.
Dante Wright, Colorado State (Position Rank: WR26 vs. ADP: WR47)
Wright is an exceptionally productive player on a bad offense that has managed to get WR talent to the NFL in recent years. He has been one of, if not the, most prolific producers posting 1.8 yards per team pass attempt in 2019 and 2.67 yards per team pass attempt in 2020. To go along with monster efficiency on a subpar offense, Wright also had a 32.4% weighted dominator in 2021 after crossing the threshold in 2020. Not only has he managed to produce as a WR, but Wright has also been dynamic with over 26 rushing attempts in two seasons and an All-Mountain West Honorable mention as a punt returner. Wright should have a solid 2020 with NFL aspirations as a true Swiss Army Knife playmaker.
